Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
35.4% ( -0.55) | 25.94% ( -0.16) | 38.66% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% ( 0.68) | 49.97% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.04% ( 0.6) | 71.96% ( -0.6) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0) | 27.19% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0) | 62.6% ( 0) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( 0.71) | 25.34% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.96) | 60.13% ( -0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |