Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Le Havre |
38.35% ( 0.13) | 26.83% ( -0.41) | 34.82% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.25% ( 1.65) | 53.75% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.77% ( 1.37) | 75.23% ( -1.37) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( 0.86) | 27.27% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.3% ( 1.1) | 62.7% ( -1.1) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( 0.99) | 29.37% ( -0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( 1.2) | 65.35% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |