Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 44.49%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Le Havre in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Le Havre.
Result | ||
Le Havre | Draw | Clermont |
44.49% ( 0.27) | 27.81% ( 0.02) | 27.7% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.49% ( -0.21) | 59.51% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.14% ( -0.16) | 79.86% ( 0.16) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0.04) | 26.64% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.13% ( 0.06) | 61.88% ( -0.06) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( -0.35) | 37.5% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( -0.34) | 74.28% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Le Havre | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |