Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Metz in this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Metz |
34.7% ( -1.12) | 26.93% ( 0.43) | 38.36% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 51.01% ( -1.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.8% ( -1.86) | 54.2% ( 1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.39% ( -1.57) | 75.6% ( 1.57) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% ( -1.6) | 29.67% ( 1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.28% ( -1.98) | 65.72% ( 1.98) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.48) | 27.47% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( -0.63) | 62.96% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |