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Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Marseille

Clermont
1 - 5
Marseille

Boutobba (53')
Cham (34'), Borges (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ndiaye (23'), Aubameyang (59'), Clauss (67'), Henrique (80'), Moumbagna (90+2')
Kondogbia (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Clermont
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Marseille

Both teams have reason to be optimistic of success on Saturday and will view this fixture as a must-win if they wish to achieve their end-of-season targets. Although Marseille's away from has been woeful to say the least this term, their resurgence under new boss Gasset has not gone unnoticed and the 70-year-old should have enough quality at his disposal to lead the visitors to an important victory over their relegation-threatened counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawMarseille
23.74% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 51.05% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.92% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (0.087999999999994 0.09)52.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.76% (0.076000000000001 0.08)74.24% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)37.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.09% (0.041 0.04)73.91% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (0.049000000000007 0.05)20.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (0.078000000000003 0.08)53.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 23.74%
    Marseille 51.04%
    Draw 25.21%
ClermontDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.74%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 12.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 9.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.04%

How you voted: Clermont vs Marseille

Clermont
13.5%
Draw
15.4%
Marseille
71.2%
52
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 16
Marseille
2-1
Clermont
Murillo (26'), Harit (42')
Allevinah (58')
Seidu (67'), Gastien (85'), Caufriez (89')
Feb 11, 2023 8.45pm
Gameweek 23
Clermont
0-2
Marseille
Sanchez (44' pen., 81')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Marseille
1-0
Clermont
Gueye (49')
Rongier (44'), Bailly (90+1')

Andric (37'), Seidu (64')
Feb 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
0-2
Clermont

Sampaoli (39'), Guendouzi (68'), Caleta-Car (75')
Bayo (13'), Allevinah (84')
Seidu (68'), Kyei (89')
Oct 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Clermont
0-1
Marseille

Khaoui (53')
Under (25')
Guendouzi (24'), Saliba (40'), Balerdi (43'), de la Fuente (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco31177758411758
3Brest31168749331656
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens31137114034646
7Marseille31111194738944
8Lyon31135134251-944
9Rennes31119114841742
10Toulouse311010113840-240
11Reims31117133845-740
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3199133444-1036
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Le HavreLe Havre31611143041-1129
16Metz3185183251-1929
17Lorient3168173761-2426
18Clermont31510162550-2525


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