Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
36.76% | 27.61% | 35.63% |
Both teams to score 48.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.21% | 56.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.28% | 77.72% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.33% | 29.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.29% | 65.71% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.63% | 30.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.44% | 66.55% |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |