Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lille |
19.92% ( 0.01) | 22.83% ( 0.01) | 57.26% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% ( -0.01) | 47.1% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.67% ( -0.01) | 69.33% ( 0.01) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.22% ( 0.01) | 37.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.45% ( 0.01) | 74.55% ( -0.01) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( -0.01) | 16.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( -0.01) | 45.69% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.92% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 0-2 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.15% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.92% 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |