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Women's Super League | Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2021 at 2pm UK
 

Leicester Women
2 - 0
B'ham Women

Howard (18'), Tierney (74')
Plumptre (84'), de Graaf (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Finn (36')

Preview: Leicester Women vs. Birmingham City Women - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Leicester Women and Birmingham City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leicester Women will welcome Birmingham City Women to the King Power Stadium on Sunday with both teams set to battle it out in a relegation six-pointer.

The hosts are rooted to the bottom of the Women's Super League table and are still searching for their first points of the season, while Birmingham sit a place higher with a solitary point to their name.


Match preview

Leicester's new manager Lydia Bedford received a baptism of fire last weekend, with her first game in charge involving a tough away trip to Arsenal.

A disastrous first half saw Jordan Nobbs and Vivianne Miedema grab a goal apiece, before Leicester's task became even tougher when Jemma Purfield was shown a straight red card moments before half time.

Frida Maanum netted a brace late on to condemn the Foxes to a heavy defeat, but Bedford will know that her side's fight to remain in the top flight will rely on obtaining positive results against fellow relegation strugglers.

That loss represented Leicester's ninth consecutive league defeat of the season, but they could give their season impetus with a victory on Sunday.

If they are to get the win, they need to improve in the final third as the Foxes have only scored three league goals this season - no other team in the WSL has scored fewer.

As for Birmingham, they are still searching for their first win of the season, and they enter the weekend's contest off the back of four consecutive league defeats.

Their sole point of the campaign occurred on October 10, which came courtesy of a 2-2 draw away to West Ham, but since that fixture, the Blues have struggled.

Although, they can take comfort from their performance last week when they ran Manchester City close before falling to a 3-2 defeat.

Birmingham took the lead on two occasions thanks to a goal apiece for Christie Murray and Louise Quinn, however, goals from Georgia Stanway, Lauren Hemp and Ellen White guided Man City to victory.

The Blues will need to improve defensively if they are to avoid the drop, with Sunday's visitors currently holding the worst defensive record in the league after conceding 24 goals this season.

Leicester Women Women's Super League form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Leicester Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Birmingham City Women Women's Super League form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Birmingham City Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Leicester are likely to be without Paige Bailey-Gayle due to injury.

Abbie McManus missed last weekend's encounter and the defender remains a doubt for Sunday.

Following her red card last week, Purfield will miss out as she serves her one-match suspension.

Meanwhile, Birmingham are without Arabella Suttie, who is set to miss the rest of the season due to an ACL injury.

Darren Carter made numerous changes for their league cup fixture in midweek, but Sunday's starting lineup will be similar to the one that started against Manchester City last weekend.

Despite grabbing a brace in the league cup encounter with London City Lionesses, Eleanor Ryan-Doyle will have to settle for a place on the bench.

Leicester Women possible starting lineup:
Lambourne; De Graaf, Howard, McManus, Brougham; Tierney, Plumptre, Barker, O'Brien; Flint, Sigsworth

Birmingham City Women possible starting lineup:
Hourihan; Lawley, Quinn, Sandvej; Scott, Murray, Robertson, Holloway; Pennock, Smith, Sarri


SM words green background

We say: Leicester Women 2-1 Birmingham City Women

Both teams may be searching for their first league win of the season, but the Foxes can take confidence from the fact that they have won once in 90 minutes this season, while Birmingham are still winless in all competitions, and we think that small detail may give Leicester the edge on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Women win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Leicester Women had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Leicester Women win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester Women would win this match.


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