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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Watford logo

West Brom
2 - 2
Watford

Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-2 Leeds
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Watford

West Brom have been renowned for their stellar home form this season, and we are expecting the Baggies to continue their Black Country form on Easter Monday. Watford went toe-to-toe with Premier League-bound Leeds at Vicarage Road on Good Friday, but we believe that a trip to The Hawthorns will yield no returns for Cleverley's troops. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
46.22% (0.109 0.11) 26.56% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 27.22% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.05% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.21299999999999 0.21)55.26% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.176 0.18)76.48% (-0.173 -0.17)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (0.146 0.15)23.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (0.208 0.21)58.07% (-0.204 -0.2)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (0.078000000000003 0.08)35.58% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 46.21%
    Watford 27.22%
    Draw 26.56%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawWatford
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 46.21%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 27.22%

How you voted: West Brom vs Watford

West Bromwich Albion
73.5%
Draw
12.2%
Watford
14.3%
49
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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