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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Coventry City

Watford
1 - 2
Coventry

Porteous (20')
Hoedt (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wright (40' pen., 72')
Kelly (19'), Palmer (23'), Bidwell (45+1'), Thomas (66'), Wright (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Coventry City

Having not won at Vicarage Road since November 25, Watford are devoid of confidence on their own patch but possess the quality to earn a result this weekend. Coventry have alternated lacklustre displays with handsome victories over the past fortnight - we are expecting something in the middle of those two extremes from the Sky Blues on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCoventry City
38.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.48% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 35.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)47.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (0.034000000000002 0.03)70.09% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.053000000000004 0.05)58.77% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.73%
    Coventry City 35.79%
    Draw 25.47%
WatfordDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 35.79%

How you voted: Watford vs Coventry

Watford
31.7%
Draw
26.7%
Coventry City
41.7%
60
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Coventry
3-3
Watford
Van Ewijk (41'), Hoedt (64' og.), Godden (87')
Eccles (24'), McFadzean (60'), Sheaf (76')
Rajovic (35', 79'), Martins (52')
Porteous (30'), Sierralta (40'), Hoedt (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Coventry
2-2
Watford
Godden (58'), Sheaf (72')
Pedro (6'), Louza (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 6, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
0-0
Watford
Sierralta (24'), Gray (29')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Watford
3-2
Coventry
Gray (54'), Troost-Ekong (66'), Sarr (83' pen.)
Femenia (62')
Hamer (63'), Walker (64')
Skiri Oestigaard (55'), O'Hare (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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