Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.