Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | York City |
58.18% | 22.03% | 19.79% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.52% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( -0) | 43.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% | 66.21% ( -0) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% | 14.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.98% | 43.02% ( -0) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% ( -0) | 72.81% |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 6.21% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.73% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 0-0 @ 5.32% 2-2 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.43% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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