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League One
Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 29
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Northampton Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 2
Northampton

Murphy (6'), Goodwin (81')
Rodrigues (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hondermarck (35'), Springett (90+2')
Hondermarck (74'), Simpson (78'), Pinnock (82'), Hoskins (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Northampton Town

 Oxford have rediscovered their form from earlier in the season under Buckingham, and they always carry a significant threat in attack. Northampton are a more solid outfit and will provide stubborn resistance. However, we expect Oxford's quality to shine through in the end, even if they may have to be patient to find a winner. Doing so would be a big step towards finishing inside the top six, while making a serious dent in their opponents' aspirations of achieving similar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.17% (-0.105 -0.1) 21.78% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.05% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)45.37% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)67.7% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)14.65% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (-0.105 -0.11)42.79% (0.104 0.1)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)38.83% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44% (0.038 0.04)75.56% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.16%
    Northampton Town 18.05%
    Draw 21.78%
Oxford UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.16%
1-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 18.05%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Northampton

Oxford United
76.7%
Draw
10.0%
Northampton Town
13.3%
30
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Northampton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Bowie (50'), Simpson (90+7')
Brough (66'), Simpson (90+8')
Brannagan (62' pen.)
Brown (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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