MX23RW : Monday, April 29 17:35:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Frosinone logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Roma logo
Salernitana
Sassuolo logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Atalanta logo

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)
Martinez (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maehle (37')
Maehle (38'), Ederson (60'), Toloi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta BC

With Fiorentina growing in confidence in recent weeks, they will fancy their chances of heaping the pressure on their opponents. However, we are backing Atalanta to bounce back from their defeat last time out, earning a share of the spoils which will at least keep their points tally ticking over. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
47.67% (1.217 1.22) 25.3% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 27.03% (-1.197 -1.2)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.827 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.662 -0.66)50.43% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.588 -0.59)72.36% (0.589 0.59)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.25999999999999 0.26)21.17% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.404 0.4)54.04% (-0.404 -0.4)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (-1.274 -1.27)33.15% (1.274 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (-1.429 -1.43)69.75% (1.431 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.67%
    Atalanta BC 27.03%
    Draw 25.3%
FiorentinaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.217 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.67%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Atalanta

Fiorentina
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Atalanta BC
18.6%
129
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')
Feb 10, 2022 5pm
Quarter-Finals
Atalanta
2-3
Fiorentina
Zappacosta (30'), Boga (56')
de Roon (7'), Pasalic (32')
Piatek (9' pen., 71'), Milenkovic (90+3')
Julio (38'), Martinez (45+1')
Martinez (79')
Sep 11, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-2
Fiorentina
Zapata (65' pen.)
Maehle (31'), Zapata (45+2'), Gosens (76'), Freuler (86'), Luis Palomino (90+2')
Vlahovic (33' pen., 49')
Bonaventura (45+2'), Julio (56'), Milenkovic (74'), Odriozola (81')
Apr 11, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-3
Atalanta
Vlahovic (57', 66')
Pezzella (32'), Amrabat (53'), Milenkovic (72')
Zapata (13', 40'), Ilicic (70' pen.)
Romero (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!