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Walsall
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poundland Bescot Stadium
Morecambe

Walsall
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tierney (13'), Matt (26'), Adegboyega (65')
Comley (23'), Gordon (58'), Knowles (62'), Earing (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brannan (24'), Stokes (53'), Tutonda (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Walsall 1-1 Morecambe

Morecambe would do well to cause chaos with long throws into the Walsall box, but the Saddlers are an extremely tough nut to crack at Banks's Stadium and have all the motivation they need to succeed on Tuesday. The visitors' penchant for goalscoring on the road should still help them to a degree, as will their superior head-to-head record, but we are finding it impossible to separate the two outfits on this occasion; a third successive 1-1 for Walsall could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
WalsallDrawMorecambe
46.85% (-1.3 -1.3) 25.07% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 28.09% (1.354 1.35)
Both teams to score 54.23% (1.197 1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (1.084 1.08)48.79% (-1.081 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.1% (0.976 0.98)70.89% (-0.97200000000001 -0.97)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (-0.119 -0.12)20.86% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (-0.189 -0.19)53.55% (0.192 0.19)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (1.617 1.62)31.48% (-1.611 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (1.826 1.83)67.86% (-1.822 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Walsall 46.85%
    Morecambe 28.09%
    Draw 25.06%
WalsallDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.29% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.427 -0.43)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 46.85%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 2.65% (0.215 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.161 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.09%

How you voted: Walsall vs Morecambe

Walsall
39.3%
Draw
35.7%
Morecambe
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Morecambe
2-1
Walsall
Major (25'), Rawson (90+2')
Love (34'), Adams (35'), Songo'o (38'), McKiernan (48'), Rawson (90+3'), Bedeau (90+5'), Slew (90+11')
Johnson (38')
Riley (37'), McEntee (45+1'), Hutchinson (86'), Johnson (90+5')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe
Stockton (45+2'), Songo'o (76')
Songo'o (58')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 23
Morecambe
1-1
Walsall
Mendes Gomes (80')
Stockton (40'), Lavelle (79'), Hendrie (88')
Gordon (37')
Jules (40')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-2
Morecambe

Gordon (45')
Old (68'), Mendes Gomes (96')
Slew (45'), Mendes Gomes (77'), Mbulu (89')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
0-1
Walsall

Old (79')
Sinclair (4')
Liddle (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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