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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Lamex Stadium
Northampton Town

Stevenage
1 - 2
Northampton

Lines (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGowan (18'), Pinnock (50')
Hoskins (68'), Rose (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-2 Salford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 0-2 Northampton Town

With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
29.59%27.98%42.43%
Both teams to score 46.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.67%59.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.73%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1%35.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33%72.68%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.36%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.82%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 29.58%
    Northampton Town 42.42%
    Draw 27.98%
StevenageDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 29.58%
1-1 @ 13.07%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.98%
0-1 @ 12.75%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 8.2%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 42.42%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Northampton

Stevenage
26.7%
Draw
13.3%
Northampton Town
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Northampton
3-0
Stevenage
Etete (34'), Hoskins (43'), Horsfall (63')
Lewis (88')

Reeves (12'), Vancooten (54'), Reid (56'), Coker (73')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Northampton
0-0
Stevenage
Northampton win 4-2 on penalties

Iontton (60')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Northampton
1-0
Stevenage
Williams (94')
Harriman (40'), Anderson (45'), Hoskins (57'), Wharton (78')

Timlin (28'), Soares (51'), List (74'), Nugent (81')
Sep 17, 2019 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Northampton

Stokes (21'), Wildin (41'), Farman (67')
Smith (56')
Turnbull (25'), Goode (38'), McWilliams (64'), Smith (67'), Oliver (80')
Smith (68')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Stevenage
1-2
Northampton
Revell (79')
Timlin (51'), Farman (93')
Powell (19'), Williams (91')
Powell (14'), Goode (47'), O'Toole (64'), Hoskins (87'), Foley (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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