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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
3 - 1
Salford City

Mahoney (22'), Nichols (54'), Jefferies (62')
Clark (26'), Nichols (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (37')
Mallan (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Salford City

With Gillingham having lost their way in the league in recent weeks, Salford will sense an opportunity to catapult themselves back into contention. While we expect a fiercely-fought contest, the visitors could edge this contest, taking advantage of their hosts' lack of confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
38.97% (-1.003 -1) 24.67% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 36.36% (0.933 0.93)
Both teams to score 58.91% (-0.127 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.85% (-0.219 -0.22)44.15% (0.216 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.47% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)66.53% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.592 -0.59)22.56% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.887 -0.89)56.15% (0.887 0.89)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.413 0.41)23.92% (-0.414 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.586 0.59)58.14% (-0.588 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 38.97%
    Salford City 36.36%
    Draw 24.67%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.67%
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.129 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.182 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.63% (0.117 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.055 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.36%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Salford City
16.7%
6
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Gillingham
0-3
Salford City
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Auger-Aliassime
Rublev
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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