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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Grimsby Town

Doncaster
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Barlow (26')
Mitchell (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maher (85'), Lloyd (90+6')
Waterfall (13'), Smith (28'), Taylor (45+3'), Glennon (79'), Clifton (81'), Green (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
35.69% (0.357 0.36) 28.13% (0.044 0.04) 36.18% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.14 -0.14)58.74% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.109 -0.11)79.27% (0.116 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.16 0.16)31.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (0.183 0.18)67.66% (-0.176 -0.18)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)30.99% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.373 -0.37)67.3% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 35.68%
    Grimsby Town 36.18%
    Draw 28.13%
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
Apr 1, 2017 1pm
Grimsby Town
1-5
Doncaster
Jones (34')
Clements (6'), Dyson (22'), Mills (65')
Marquis (37', 43', 61'), Williams (78'), May (88')
Williams (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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