MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 10:22:36| >> :600:171810:171810:
Brighton logo
FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 19, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Brighton
5 - 0
Grimsby Town

Undav (6'), Ferguson (51', 70'), March (82'), Mitoma (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion thrashed Grimsby Town 5-0 at the Amex Stadium on Sunday to reach the FA Cup semi-finals, as the League Two visitors were denied making history.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 69.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
69.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 18.62% (0.0030000000000001 0) 11.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.68% (0.45200000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.355 0.35)44.47% (-0.354 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.343 0.34)66.84% (-0.343 -0.34)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (0.060000000000002 0.06)11.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.41% (0.133 0.13)36.58% (-0.133 -0.13)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.81% (0.476 0.48)47.19% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.37% (0.354 0.35)82.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 69.66%
    Grimsby Town 11.71%
    Draw 18.62%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawGrimsby Town
2-0 @ 12.7% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.048 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 18.62%
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.33% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 11.71%

How you voted: Brighton vs Grimsby Town

Brighton & Hove Albion
67.7%
Draw
9.7%
Grimsby Town
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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