MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 07:54:35| >> :600:403387:403387:
Stoke logo
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brighton logo

Stoke
0 - 1
Brighton


Laurent (21'), Baker (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferguson (30')
Undav (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Stoke City 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton have become a very entertaining outfit under De Zerbi's stewardship, and we expect the Seagulls to have too much attacking fluency for their Championship opponents on Tuesday. Indeed, the visitors had the weekend off due to their match against Newcastle United being rescheduled, so they should be far fresher than Stoke on the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
27.1% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 23.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 48.97% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.21% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)44.52% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)66.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)29.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)66.11% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.28% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65%49.35% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 27.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 48.97%
    Draw 23.93%
Stoke CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brighton

Stoke City
20.5%
Draw
9.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
69.7%
132
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 20, 2017 8pm
Apr 30, 2006 3pm
Brighton
1-5
Stoke
Loft (84')
Henderson (7')
Sidibe (40'), Rooney (6', 22', 63')
Nov 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
3-0
Brighton
Russell (68')
Russell (31'), Brammer (82'), Duberry (87')

McShane (39')
Mar 5, 2005 3pm
Stoke
2-0
Brighton
Noel-Williams (39' pen., 44' pen.)
Clarke (52')

Nicolas (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!