Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
61.8% | 22.2% | 16% |
Both teams to score 46.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% | 50.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.6% | 72.4% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.17% | 15.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.99% | 45.01% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.59% | 44.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.54% | 80.46% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 61.79% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.27% 0-2 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 1.16% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.48% Total : 16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |