Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
43.56% | 27.04% | 29.4% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.03% | 55.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% | 77.07% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% | 25.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% | 60.34% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% | 34.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% | 70.94% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |