Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
40.41% | 25.66% | 33.93% |
Both teams to score 55.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% | 49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% | 71.08% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% | 23.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% | 58.22% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% | 27.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% | 63.15% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.41% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |