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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico


Isco (11'), Delaney (31'), Gudelj (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
Witsel (38'), Felix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Two sides with plenty to prove, and with defensive deficiencies to boot, we can see an exciting game here, with plenty of opportunities at both sides. We fancy Atletico Madrid to get the job done, however, with their superior attacking talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
33.63% (0.255 0.26) 27.43% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 38.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (-0.334 -0.33)56.29% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.268 -0.27)77.32% (0.27 0.27)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)28.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.457 -0.46)63.81% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.62%
    Atletico Madrid 38.93%
    Draw 27.43%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Atletico Madrid
55.0%
129
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid36296183226193
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona36236775453075
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Villarreal36149136060051
9Valencia35139133739-248
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves36119163445-1142
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna36118174054-1441
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca36715142941-1236
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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