Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 10.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.57%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
72.38% ( 0.23) | 17.38% ( -0.13) | 10.23% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.69% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.01% ( 0.27) | 42.98% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.61% ( 0.27) | 65.38% ( -0.27) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.52% ( 0.13) | 10.47% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.89% ( 0.29) | 34.11% ( -0.3) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.03% ( -0.02) | 48.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.07% ( -0.02) | 83.93% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
2-0 @ 13.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 72.38% | 1-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.38% | 0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.31% Total : 10.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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