Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
21.15% ( 0) | 24.69% ( -0) | 54.16% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( 0.01) | 53.12% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( 0) | 74.7% ( -0.01) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.05% ( 0) | 39.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( 0.01) | 76.6% ( -0.01) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% | 19.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.53% ( 0) | 51.47% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.15% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 5.19% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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