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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Almeria

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Almeria

Bellingham (57' pen.), Junior (67'), Carvajal (90+9')
Camavinga (90+8'), Carvajal (90+10'), Bellingham (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramazani (1'), Gonzalez (43')
Ramazani (52'), Garitano (53'), Lopy (64'), Pozo (74'), Gonzalez (84'), Suarez Charris (90+11')
Garitano (90+7')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Almeria.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Almeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Almeria

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 0-0 Girona
Sunday, January 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Almeria

 There has certainly been an improvement in Almeria's recent performances, and the return of Suarez in an attacking area will boost their survival hopes. Real Madrid have had a tiring start to 2024, and we are not expecting Ancelotti's side to be at their best here, but the hosts should have enough to get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
82.52% (0.78700000000001 0.79) 10.75% (-0.439 -0.44) 6.73% (-0.353 -0.35)
Both teams to score 57.35% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.77% (0.961 0.96)21.22% (-0.966 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.18% (1.331 1.33)39.82% (-1.336 -1.34)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.23% (0.27500000000001 0.28)3.77% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.87% (0.902 0.9)16.12% (-0.907 -0.91)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)40.4% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)77.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 82.52%
    Almeria 6.73%
    Draw 10.75%
Real MadridDrawAlmeria
3-0 @ 8.94% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-0 @ 7.33% (0.123 0.12)
4-1 @ 6.64% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 4.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
5-0 @ 4.81% (0.183 0.18)
5-1 @ 4.36% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.01% (0.048 0.05)
6-0 @ 2.63% (0.156 0.16)
6-1 @ 2.38% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.97% (0.074 0.07)
7-0 @ 1.23% (0.098 0.1)
7-1 @ 1.12% (0.089 0.09)
6-2 @ 1.08% (0.064 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 82.52%
1-1 @ 4.52% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-0 @ 1.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 10.75%
1-2 @ 2.05% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 1.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.73%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Real Madrid
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Almeria
6.5%
46
Head to Head
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Gameweek 2
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1-3
Real Madrid
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Chumi (59')
Bellingham (19', 60'), Junior (73')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
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Almeria
Benzema (5', 17', 42' pen.), Rodrygo (47')
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Aug 14, 2022 9pm
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> Preview
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514
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