Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
40.55% | 26.78% | 32.67% |
Both teams to score 51.06% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.05% | 53.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% | 75.39% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% | 30.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% | 67.15% |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |