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Almeria
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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Almeria

Cadiz
1 - 1
Almeria

Hernandez (59')
Fede (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (90+5')
Puigmal (9'), Moreno (10'), Gonzalez (27'), Suarez Charris (72'), Ramazani (90')
Gonzalez (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 2-0 Cadiz
Sunday, August 20 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, August 19 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 2-1 Almeria

Both matches between the two sides last season finished 1-1, and we were close to going for that scoreline once again here. Cadiz have shown promising signs in the early stages of the new campaign, though, and we are backing the home side to navigate their way to all three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAlmeria
39.68% (0.443 0.44) 27.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 33.31% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.108 0.11)54.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.09 0.09)76.02% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (0.297 0.3)26.97% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.69% (0.386 0.39)62.31% (-0.382 -0.38)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)30.82% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.243 -0.24)67.09% (0.246 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 39.68%
    Almeria 33.31%
    Draw 27.01%
CadizDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 39.68%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.31%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Almeria

Cadiz
74.0%
Draw
20.0%
Almeria
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Almeria
1-1
Cadiz
Melero (90+7' pen.)
Marti (49')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Cadiz
1-1
Almeria
Perez (83')
Melero (40')
Feb 29, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 30
Cadiz
2-1
Almeria
Maras (16' og.), Alex (60')
Fali (37'), Perea (76')
Corpas (10')
Jonathan (77'), Costas (84')
Sep 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Almeria
1-2
Cadiz
Corpas (77' pen.)
Maras (36'), Martos (94')
Lozano (69'), Espino (90')
Mari (26'), Lozano (71'), Alberto (94')
Mauro (76')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Almeria
0-0
Cadiz
Brice Eteki (17'), Carlos (21'), Martos (31'), Saveljich (90')
Ramos (35'), Lekic (42'), Mari (60')
Mari (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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