Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.88%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
74.04% ( -0.19) | 17.07% ( 0.17) | 8.88% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.37% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.22% ( -0.69) | 45.78% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.9% ( -0.66) | 68.09% ( 0.66) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.2% ( -0.24) | 10.8% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.17% ( -0.52) | 34.83% ( 0.52) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.38% ( -0.41) | 53.62% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.96% ( -0.26) | 87.04% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Getafe |
2-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 74.03% | 1-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 17.07% | 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |