Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
41.7% ( 1.37) | 26.3% ( -0.13) | 32% ( -1.23) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.84% ( 0.25) | 52.16% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.13% ( 0.21) | 73.87% ( -0.21) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% ( 0.83) | 24.73% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% ( 1.14) | 59.28% ( -1.13) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( -0.69) | 30.42% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.38% ( -0.83) | 66.62% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |