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Heerenveen
KNVB Beker | Semi-Finals
Mar 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
0 - 3
Ajax

FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (19'), Tadic (63' pen.), Neres (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's KNVB Beker clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
17.24%18.18%64.58%
Both teams to score 63.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.31%29.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.18%50.82%
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83%30.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68%66.32%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.24%8.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.91%30.09%
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 17.24%
    Ajax 64.58%
    Draw 18.18%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.62%
1-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.25%
2-0 @ 1.9%
3-1 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 7.71%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 2.64%
3-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 7.62%
0-1 @ 6.44%
0-3 @ 6.36%
1-4 @ 4.64%
2-3 @ 4.57%
0-4 @ 3.87%
2-4 @ 2.78%
1-5 @ 2.26%
0-5 @ 1.89%
2-5 @ 1.36%
3-4 @ 1.11%
1-6 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 64.58%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen
15.2%
Draw
2.2%
Ajax
82.6%
46
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 5
Ajax
5-1
Heerenveen
Tadic (4', 28' pen.), Kudus (35'), Klaassen (72' pen.), Antony (87')
Martinez (84')
Veerman (66')
Kongolo (72'), Paul van Hecke (74')
Mar 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Heerenveen
1-3
Ajax
Van Bergen (67')
Kongolo (89')
Tadic (57', 60'), Promes (63')
Maduro (12')
Sep 14, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Huntelaar (14'), Tagliafico (45', 58'), Schuurs (52')
Tagliafico (38')
Odgaard (22')
Kongolo (36')
Jan 24, 2019 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Ajax
3-1
Heerenveen
Mazraoui (3'), Van de Beek (16', 38')
Magallan (88')
Van Amersfoort (84')
Vlap (52')
Jan 20, 2019 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Ajax
4-4
Heerenveen
Tadic (13', 16'), Van Amersfoort (28' og.), Huntelaar (83')
Lammers (14', 51'), Van Bergen (56'), Pierie (91')
Bruijn (93')
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