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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Dec 25, 2021 at 10.30am UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium

Kasimpasa
2 - 0
Altay

Donk (34'), Bozok (88')
Haspolat (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Naderi (10'), Thiam (45+3'), Pinares (46'), Karayel (65'), Rodriguez (79')
Karayel (67')

Preview: Kasimpasa vs. Altay - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Altay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

On a run of 11 consecutive league games without a win, Altay take a trip to the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium to lock horns with fellow strugglers Kasimpasa on Saturday.

The hosts, who have also failed to taste victory in seven Super Lig outings, will be aiming to end this dry spell and behind their surge from the bottom of the table.


Match preview

After securing a 14th-placed finish last season, Kasimpasa will feel disappointed by their performance in the opening half of the season as they find themselves rooted to the bottom of the Super Lig table after 18 rounds of matches.

Sami Ugurlu's men, who are currently six points away from safety, have won just two games while losing 10 so far this season, picking up 12 points from an available 54.

They are one of just three sides yet to pick up a win away from home this term and boast the league's third-worst away record with three points from nine outings.

Kasimpasa head into Saturday's game fresh off the back of a 1-1 draw with Antalyaspor at the Antalya Stadium, where Naldo and Umut Bozok scored for either side to force a share of the spoils.

Meanwhile, Altay were left empty-handed last time out when they threw away a one-goal lead and fell to a 2-1 defeat at the hands of a rampant Trabzonspor side at the Alsancak Stadium.

After Cebrail Karayel netted in the 33rd minute to put the hosts in front heading into the break, Andreas Cornelius put on a sensational second-half performance as he scored twice to hand the visitors a comeback victory.

Altay have now lost each of their last three games, conceding seven goals and scoring three since a 4-2 cup win over Manisa on November 30, while they have failed to taste victory in any of their last 11 league games.

This horrid run has seen them drop to 16th place in the Super Lig table, one point above the relegation zone, after claiming 18 points from 18 games.

Their struggles at the defensive end of the pitch has been a major cause of concern for manager Mustafa Denizli, whose side boast the division's third-worst defensive record with 30 goals conceded so far.

Kasimpasa Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Kasimpasa form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Altay Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Altay form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Ugurlu remains unable to call upon the services of Swedish midfielder Loret Sadiku after the 30-year-old picked up a knee problem back in October's game against Yeni Malatyaspor.

Fellow midfielder Nabil Dirar will also play no part in Saturday's game as the Moroccan international is currently recuperating from an injury he sustained against Fatih Karagumruk on November 21.

Former Chelsea defender Jeffery Bruma is also set to sit out his third consecutive game after coming off with a foot problem in the 2-1 defeat to Istanbul Basaksehir two weeks ago.

Meanwhile, Ibrahim Ozturk is out of contention for Altay after he missed the game against Trabzonspor last time through an injury he sustained versus Giresunspor last Friday.

Other than that, there are no concerns on the injury front for Saturday's visitors and we expect Denizli to name his strongest possible side on Saturday.

Kasimpasa possible starting lineup:
Tekin; Hadergjonaj, Brecka, Donk, Elmaci; Erdogan, Travnik, Serbest, Hajradinovic; Bozok, Eysseric

Altay possible starting lineup:
Lis; Naderi, Akca, Bjorkander, Thiam, Karayel; Rodriguez, Pinares, Poko, Kappel; Bamba


SM words green background

We say: Kasimpasa 1-2 Altay

We expect both sides to take the game to each other as they head into the game desperate to end their respective winless runs and this makes for an exciting affair. Altay have been decent away from home, while Kasimpasa have picked up just nine points from nine games on home turf. With that said, we are tipping the visitors to claim all three points, albeit by a narrow margin.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Altay had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Altay win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Altay

Kasimpasa
43.8%
Draw
25.0%
Altay
31.3%
32
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray34303180215993
2Fenerbahce34285189315889
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor341841260451558
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul34157124639752
5BesiktasBesiktas34156134540551
6KasimpasaKasimpasa34147135659-349
7Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor34147134551-649
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor341212104946348
9SivassporSivasspor341212104145-448
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
11Adana Demirspor34914114947241
12KayserisporKayserispor341110133948-940
13Samsunspor34109153744-739
14AnkaragucuAnkaragucu34814124245-338
15KonyasporKonyaspor34812143448-1436
16GaziantepGaziantep3497183954-1534
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor34712153848-1033
19Pendikspor3479183870-3230
RIstanbulspor3447232667-4116


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