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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season. As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.99% (-0.408 -0.41) 28.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 44.48% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.89% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.367 -0.37)39.59% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.341 -0.34)76.28% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.223 0.22)27.92% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.285 0.29)63.53% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 26.99%
    Nagoya Grampus 44.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.48%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1492324101429
2Machida Zelvia149232011929
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers148242317626
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa147252419523
5FC Tokyo146442523222
6Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka146441110122
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus147161616022
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo145541817120
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima134722014619
10Avispa Fukuoka144731313019
11Tokyo Verdy143922018218
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol134631415-118
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki144462120116
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama124441717016
15Albirex Niigata144461721-416
16Jubilo Iwata144281821-314
17Sagan Tosu144282125-414
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare142571826-811
19Consadole SapporoConsadole142571226-1411
20Kyoto Sanga142391124-139


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