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J1 League | Gameweek 16
Jun 3, 2023 at 8am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
3 - 1
Cerezo

Izumi (21'), Maruyama (31'), Mateus (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 27 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Yokohama FC
Sunday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.12%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
36.12% (-0.213 -0.21) 28.61% (0.416 0.42) 35.26% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-1.23 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.52% (-1.502 -1.5)60.48% (1.497 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.4% (-1.148 -1.15)80.6% (1.144 1.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.898 -0.9)31.91% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-1.036 -1.04)68.36% (1.031 1.03)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)32.47% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-1.029 -1.03)68.99% (1.023 1.02)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 36.11%
    Cerezo Osaka 35.26%
    Draw 28.61%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.11%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.567 0.57)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.26%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5am
May 14, 2022 6am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Sento (6')
Nov 27, 2021 5am
gameweek 37
Cerezo
2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Fujita (80'), Nishio (87')
Kakitani (67')
Nagasawa (77')
May 8, 2021 7am
gameweek 13
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Yoshida (66')
Yonemoto (70'), Kakitani (77')

Takagi (59')
Oct 10, 2020 6am
gameweek 34
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Cerezo
Mateus (90+1')
Abe (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3FC Tokyo136432420422
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers127141713422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
12Tokyo Verdy123721715216
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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