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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Aug 31, 2022 at 11am UK
Todoroki Athletics Stadium

Kawasaki
4 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Chinen (26'), Schmidt (47'), Marcinho (56'), Oshima (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Seok-Ho (32'), Naganuma (79')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

Last Six:
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

Last Six:
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
62.96% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 20.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 16.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.7% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)45.3% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)41.06% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)41.21% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.029 0.03)77.74% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 62.94%
    Sagan Tosu 16.06%
    Draw 20.98%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.94%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.98%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.06%

Head to Head
May 21, 2022 9am
Sagan Tosu
0-0
Kawasaki

Koizumi (19'), Tashiro (90')

Taniguchi (82')
Nov 7, 2021 5am
Sagan Tosu
3-1
Kawasaki
Iwasaki (3'), Sakai (20'), Koyamatsu (32' pen.)
Nakano (83'), Sagara (90+3')
Damiao (90+1')
Apr 7, 2021 11am
Kawasaki
1-0
Sagan Tosu
Tono (65')
Tanaka (68')

Tashiro (57')
Dec 12, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Kawasaki
Lopez (86')
Taniguchi (57')
Feb 22, 2020 6am
Kawasaki
0-0
Sagan Tosu
Damiao (49')

Alves (80'), Harakawa (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
10Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
11Kashiwa ReysolReysol165741721-422
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Albirex Niigata175482226-419
15Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
16Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810
> J1 League Full Table


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