FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe1 - 0Newport
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Morecambe and Newport County.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Newport County |
| 32.72% | 25.87% | 41.41% |
| Both teams to score 53.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
