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Europa League
Lyon
Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Porto

Lyon
1 - 1
Porto

Dembele (13')
Dubois (60'), Caqueret (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (27')
Eustaquio (18'), Conceicao (61'), Evanilson (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lyon and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

Last Six:
Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Lyon 2-2 Porto (Lyon to win 3-2 on aggregate)

 Although Lyon currently have a one-goal advantage, there is still plenty to play for and an entertaining contest could be on the cards on Thursday night. The hosts have struggled on home soil in the last few weeks and they will find it challenging to keep a clean sheet against a fired-up Porto outfit. However, Bosz's men also possess quality in the final third and we can see them playing out at least a draw, which would be enough to edge them through to the quarter-finals on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LyonDrawPorto
21.13%24.66%54.21%
Both teams to score 48.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99%53.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4%74.6%
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44%76.56%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5%19.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.63%51.37%
Score Analysis
    Lyon 21.13%
    Porto 54.2%
    Draw 24.65%
LyonDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.15%
2-1 @ 5.37%
2-0 @ 3.28%
3-1 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.13%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 12.71%
0-2 @ 10.39%
1-2 @ 9.55%
0-3 @ 5.67%
1-3 @ 5.21%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-4 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 54.2%

How you voted: Lyon vs Porto

Lyon
43.7%
Draw
20.4%
Porto
35.9%
167
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2022 5.45pm
Porto
0-1
Lyon

Otavio (74'), Conceicao (90+6')
Paqueta (59')
Dubois (64')
rhs 2.0
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