Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 0-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
19.23% | 19.93% | 60.84% |
Both teams to score 61.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.15% | 34.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.18% | 56.83% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.67% | 31.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.31% | 67.7% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.86% | 11.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.41% | 35.59% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 4.05% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-1 @ 2% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.23% | 1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 7.14% 0-3 @ 6.15% 2-3 @ 4.14% 1-4 @ 3.92% 0-4 @ 3.37% 2-4 @ 2.27% 1-5 @ 1.72% 0-5 @ 1.48% 2-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.83% Total : 60.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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