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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
52.3% ( -0.85) | 21.67% ( 0.26) | 26.03% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 64.27% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.23% ( -0.72) | 34.77% ( 0.72) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.27% ( -0.81) | 56.74% ( 0.81) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.51) | 13.55% ( 0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( -1.02) | 40.64% ( 1.02) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.03) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.04) | 60.56% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.45% 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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