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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.24%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.01) | 60.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.26% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.72% ( 0.03) | 50.28% ( -0.03) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.36% ( 0) | 26.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.12% ( 0) | 61.88% ( -0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.33% ( 0.01) | 9.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.74% ( 0.03) | 32.26% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 20.7% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( 0) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.2% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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