MX23RW : Thursday, May 2 20:27:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
PSV

Ajax
1 - 1
PSV

Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
de Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-4 Ajax
Saturday, January 27 at 8pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Almere City
Saturday, January 27 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

 Given the plethora of attacking talent on display, we are backing both teams to get on the scoresheet here. That said, we can also see PSV just about edging out their hosts to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.2%) and 1-0 (4.92%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
42.17% (0.86 0.86) 21.69% (-0.128 -0.13) 36.13% (-0.735 -0.73)
Both teams to score 70.33% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.69% (0.53 0.53)29.31% (-0.531 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.64% (0.644 0.64)50.35% (-0.644 -0.64)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.08% (0.536 0.54)14.91% (-0.538 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7% (1.01 1.01)43.29% (-1.012 -1.01)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)17.33% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.148 -0.15)47.71% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 42.17%
    PSV Eindhoven 36.13%
    Draw 21.69%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.119 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.68% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.061 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.27% (0.045 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 8.62% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.19% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.66% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.53% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.41% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.13%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
PSV Eindhoven
47.5%
61
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
> Match Report
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
 PSV win 3-2 on penalties
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
> Match Report
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
1-2
PSV
Lucca (83')
De Jong (23'), Gutierrez (50')
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 7pm
Final
Ajax
3-5
PSV
Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452
> Eredivisie Full Table


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