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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
11.67% | 17.06% | 71.28% |
Both teams to score 52.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% | 37.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.51% | 59.49% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.43% | 42.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.07% | 78.93% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.75% | 9.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.73% | 31.27% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.42% 1-0 @ 3.36% 2-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.67% | 1-1 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.07% 0-0 @ 3.94% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.06% | 0-2 @ 11.15% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-1 @ 9.37% 0-3 @ 8.86% 1-3 @ 7.56% 0-4 @ 5.27% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-5 @ 2.51% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-6 @ 1% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |