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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Fortuna Sittard

Utrecht
4 - 0
Sittard

Booth (21', 75'), Boussaid (70'), Lammers (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 4-2 Volendam
Sunday, February 4 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 1-0 Fortuna Sittard

Both Utrecht and Fortuna have been far from impressive at the top end of the pitch this term, so a drab affair is on the cards here. That said, we can see the home side just about managing to get the job done in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard
50% (0.136 0.14) 23.04% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 26.96% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.46% (-0.312 -0.31)40.54% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.08% (-0.322 -0.32)62.92% (0.328 0.33)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)16.4% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (-0.123 -0.12)46.04% (0.128 0.13)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-0.282 -0.28)28.02% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-0.365 -0.37)63.67% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 50%
    Fortuna Sittard 26.96%
    Draw 23.03%
FC UtrechtDrawFortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 50%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.067 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.96%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Sittard

FC Utrecht
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Fortuna Sittard
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sittard
0-0
Utrecht
Belkheir (70')
Descotte (77')
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 24
Utrecht
1-2
Sittard
Douvikas (59')
Bistrovic (68'), Noslin (87')
Sep 2, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 5
Sittard
3-4
Utrecht
Guth (67'), Yilmaz (82' pen.), Noslin (90+6')
Tirpan (71')
Dost (64'), Douvikas (71' pen., 77', 86')
Toornstra (81'), van der Maarel (83')
Apr 9, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 26
Utrecht
1-1
Sittard
Flemming (61')
Duarte (30'), Gladon (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Sittard
2-2
Utrecht
Cox (23'), Flemming (77')
Cox (33')
Mahi (21'), Van de Streek (50')
van de Streek (45'), Maher (70'), Janssen (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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