MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 20:00:20| >> :600:2934190:2934190:
Stevenage
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
5 - 2
Palace U21s

Sheridan (5' og.), Forster-Caskey (13'), White (22'), Presley (54', 83')
Neal (24'), Wildin (57'), List (89')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Ebiowei (17'), Ola-Adebomi (20')
Powell (25'), Watson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Stevenage and Crystal Palace Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Crystal Palace Under-21s

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as there is nothing substantial on offer, but it will give some Stevenage squad players a chance to impress, while a number of youngsters will be hoping to make their mark for Palace Under-21s. It should be a tight game, but we fancy Stevenage to edge the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
70.18% (0.376 0.38) 16.82% (-0.087 -0.09) 13% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 57.62% (-0.583 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.6% (-0.319 -0.32)32.4% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.97% (-0.36900000000001 -0.37)54.02% (0.362 0.36)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)8.26% (-0.0010999999999992 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.14%28.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.81% (-0.636 -0.64)37.19% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.02% (-0.636 -0.64)73.97% (0.629 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 70.18%
    Crystal Palace Under-21s 13%
    Draw 16.82%
StevenageDrawCrystal Palace Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.94% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 4.95% (0.085 0.09)
4-1 @ 4.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.017 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 70.18%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.07% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.82%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Palace U21s

Stevenage
100%
Draw
0.0%
Crystal Palace Under-21s
0.0%
14
rhs 2.0
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