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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Bolton
4 - 1
Crewe

Bakayoko (5'), Charles (78', 89'), Sadlier (86')
Aimson (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baker-Richardson (16')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Bolton Wanderers and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

Last Six:
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Crewe Alexandra

Last Six:
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCrewe Alexandra
58.71% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 21.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 19.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.68% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64% (0.022000000000006 0.02)43.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.24% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)14.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)42.4% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)36.09% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (0.028000000000002 0.03)72.87% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 58.7%
    Crewe Alexandra 19.47%
    Draw 21.82%
Bolton WanderersDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.41%
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 58.7%
1-1 @ 10.28%
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.82%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 19.47%

How you voted: Bolton vs Crewe

Bolton Wanderers
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Crewe Alexandra
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Crewe
0-1
Bolton

Johnson (34')
Bakayoko (90')
Afolayan (34')
Nov 12, 2021 8pm
Bolton
2-0
Crewe
Sheehan (50' pen.), Bakayoko (54')
Kachunga (2')

Mandron (10'), Long (29'), Gomes (35'), Offord (90+1')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Bolton
2-3
Crewe
Delfouneso (37', 78')
Mandron (29'), Finney (70'), Kirk (75')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Bolton
2-3
Crewe
Delaney (53'), Miller (75')
White (31'), Delaney (47'), Taft (89')
Mandron (15', 89'), Dale (66')
Aug 9, 2017 7.45pm
Crewe
1-2
Bolton
Porter (42')
Walker (52')
Armstrong (70'), Osede (81')
Pratley (57')
rhs 2.0
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