MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 13:51:39| >> :600:2652869:2652869:
Accrington Stanley
EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bolton logo

Accrington
0 - 2
Bolton


Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Bolton Wanderers

With a place at Wembley on the line, both sides will be very keen, but Bolton just have that extra bit of quality, which was demonstrated in the clash at the same ground earlier this season. Accrington will give it their all, but the two teams are at opposite ends of the League One table for a reason, and the visitors should ultimately be comfortable winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 58.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
19.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 22.25% (0.00099999999999767 0) 58.55% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.030999999999999 0.03)45.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.030000000000001 0.03)67.98% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (0.042000000000002 0.04)37.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.51% (0.041 0.04)74.49% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)15.27% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.04% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)43.97% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 19.2%
    Bolton Wanderers 58.55%
    Draw 22.25%
Accrington StanleyDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.2%
1-1 @ 10.55%
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.25%
0-1 @ 10.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.55%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bolton

Accrington Stanley
20.9%
Draw
13.4%
Bolton Wanderers
65.7%
67
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 10, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 32
Accrington
2-0
Bolton
Zanzala (10'), Bishop (85')

Graham (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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