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Arsenal logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brighton logo

Arsenal
1 - 3
Brighton

Nketiah (20')
Elneny (25'), Hein (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Welbeck (27' pen.), Mitoma (58'), Lamptey (71')
Caicedo (8'), Sarmiento (43')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal are knocked out of the EFL Cup in the third round after a 3-1 defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion at the Emirates.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Arsenal and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 2-3 Brighton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 21.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
57.9% (-0.784 -0.78) 21.04% (0.357 0.36) 21.06% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 60.08% (-0.61 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-1.104 -1.1)37.46% (1.105 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-1.198 -1.2)59.69% (1.2 1.2)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.23% (-0.574 -0.57)12.77% (0.576 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.95% (-1.198 -1.2)39.05% (1.201 1.2)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.241 -0.24)31.12% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.283 -0.28)67.45% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 57.9%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 21.06%
    Draw 21.04%
ArsenalDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.081 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.47% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 57.9%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.237 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 21.06%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brighton

Arsenal
84.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.2%
204
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Arsenal
1-2
Brighton
Odegaard (89')
Odegaard (39'), Saka (50'), Sambi Lokonga (82')
Trossard (29'), Mwepu (66')
Bissouma (35'), Gross (40'), Caicedo (52'), Sanchez (90+1')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
May 23, 2021 4pm
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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