EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
We said: Forest Green Rovers 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
Despite being likely to change almost their entire XI, we expect Brighton to have too much quality for their opponents.
With both sides utilising 3-5-2 formations, it is unlikely to be a goal-fest, especially with the Seagulls potentially taking their foot off the gas if they can get the job done early.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
31.36% ( 0.42) | 25.11% ( 0.17) | 43.53% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( -0.36) |
