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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht

van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Matthys (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Longo (90+1')
Longo (68'), Smolarczyk (88')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
50.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)41.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)63.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.64% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.119 0.12)46.48% (-0.119 -0.12)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.012 0.01)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.06%
    Dordrecht 26.77%
    Draw 23.15%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: MVV vs Dordrecht

MVV Maastricht
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dordrecht
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Dordrecht
1-2
MVV
Brito (28')
Camara (33')
Steuckers (21'), Souren (50')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Dordrecht
3-1
MVV
El Azzouzi (52'), Conteh (67'), Meijer (83')
Mannes (61'), N'Diaye (90+4')
Dzepar (19')
Penders (36'), Waem (38'), Lake (84')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Ntelo (17'), Remans (18')
Souren (28'), Zeegers (60'), Ntelo (65'), Blummel (82'), Waem (90+2')
N'Diaye (40')
Suray (16'), Schuurman (48'), Wielzen (86')
Suray (90+4')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Dordrecht
0-1
MVV

Aktas (70')
Blummel (90+5')
Salasiwa (50'), Van Acker (90+1')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
MVV
3-1
Dordrecht
Vliet (56' og.), Zamouri (68'), Duin (90+4')
Schuurman (76')
Surmeli (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II382310577354279
2Groningen38229771304175
3Roda JC382112569343575
4Dordrecht381815574512369
5ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag381712972502263
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap38196136152963
7EmmenEmmen38176155960-157
8NAC BredaNAC Breda381511126356756
9MVV MaastrichtMVV38168146460456
10Jong AZJong AZ38168146261156
11Helmond SportHelmond38149155255-351
12VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo38139165358-548
13Cambuur38138177174-347
14FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven38916134557-1243
15Jong AjaxJong Ajax381010185469-1540
16Jong PSVJong PSV38117206381-1840
17TelstarTelstar3898214768-2135
18TOP OssOss38104243266-3434
19Den BoschDen Bosch3889213868-3033
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht38511223274-4226


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